Wind AlliesTier 2
at DTR Regional @ CM Dunedin
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.6%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
56.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1454
· median 1454
· range 1454–1454
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1182
Q3 1403
1558
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
